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Tesla Pulls Off Long-Sought Feat of Mass-Producing Model 3

July 2, 2018
In the last week of Q2, Tesla reached its goal of producing 5,000 of the highly anticipated sedan. And they accomplished it by adding on a makeshift line outside the plant covered by a tent.

Tesla Inc. engineered a late-quarter production burst with the Model 3, the model that’s pivotal to Elon Musk’s goal of putting electric cars into the driveways of mainstream consumers.

Output reached 5,031 in the last week of the second quarter, exceeding a target that Tesla’s chief executive officer has said is crucial to generating cash and earning profit. About 20% of those cars came off a makeshift line that the company built last month underneath a tent outside its California assembly plant.

Musk sent an email Sunday to salute staff for achieving a goal to produce 5,000 Model 3s in the final week of June. The progress he’s celebrating is critical to the carmaker being able to sustain itself financially while pursuing the 47-year-old’s mission to transition the world to battery-powered transportation.

“They’re ramping up production pretty dramatically now,” said Joe Fath, a fund manager for T. Rowe Price, Tesla’s second-largest shareholder, behind only Musk. “They’ve got a lot of vehicles in transit on their way to the sales centers, so that sets them up for a really good third quarter.”

Tesla hasn’t earned an annual profit in its 15-year history. It has regularly had to go back to Wall Street to seek billions of dollars after burning through cash at rates that have alarmed some investors and credit ratings companies.

Fath, who’s based in Baltimore, said Musk hasn’t had trouble raising capital before and won’t if he chooses to do so now.

Sustaining Output

Proving these production rates can be sustained will be key to justifying a market capitalization that’s again surged past General Motors Co. and made Tesla the most valuable U.S. automaker. Its shares surged as much as 6.4% Monday and were up 0.4% to $344.27 as of 11:34 a.m. in New York.

Tesla reaffirmed its guidance for positive net income and cash flow in the third and fourth quarters, even though a weaker dollar and tariffs on vehicles and parts being sent back and forth between the U.S. and China may drag on results. It also forecast that it’ll be able to build 6,000 Model 3s a week by late August.

“The last 12 months were some of the most difficult in Tesla’s history,” the company said in a statement Friday. Achieving the 5,000-a-week Model 3 target “was not easy, but it was definitely worth it.”

Tesla Model 3

Ignored Norms

Tesla eschewed auto industry norms with the Model 3, including by skipping the step of building pre-production prototypes of the car to work out kinks before shipping vehicles to consumers. The company also spent heavily on robots to speed up manufacturing of both sedans and batteries, which Musk has said was a mistake.

“This company ignored what came before them and thought they could do things differently or more efficiently,” Kevin Tynan, a Bloomberg Intelligence analyst, said Monday on Bloomberg Television. Musk found that heavy automation “was not the best way to assemble vehicles, and they had to backtrack on some of that.”

Model 3 customers have proven to be a patient bunch through all of Tesla’s manufacturing challenges. The company said the reservation count for the sedan is about 420,000 and that orders may outpace production growth once more cars arrive in stores for test drives.

Tax Credits

While Tesla doesn’t disclose vehicle sales by region, it’s close to reaching 200,000 cumulative sales in the U.S. That’s a critical threshold: Once an automaker reaches that number of electric vehicles, the $7,500 federal tax credit begins to ratchet down and phase out over subsequent quarters.

Tesla delivered 18,440 Model 3s in the second quarter and reported that an additional 11,166 were in transit to customers. The significant number of vehicles in transit may mean the company fell short of the 200,000 mark in June, which would enable the tens of thousands of customers who take delivery this quarter to receive the full tax credit.

One customer who took delivery of his Model 3 in the second quarter was Major Earl Banning, 42, an Air Force neuropsychologist living in Dayton, Ohio. He took delivery on May 29 and drove it about 2,300 miles in June.

“The car blew away my expectations,” Banning said. “It makes other cars feel obsolete.”